Today is Election Day. Polls in British Columbia open in 56 minutes, and close at 7:00 PM tonight. After a campaign which the Prime Minister claimed was absolutely necessary because his Minority Government was making Parliament 'dysfunctional', Stephen Harper has resigned himself to another Minority. Wow. That's all almost two years of attack ads buys the Tories?
With respect to a projection, this page will concur with what's coming out of the final polls: Stephen Harper returns to power with a slightly enlarged caucus, but will continue suffer from long-term electile dysfunction. Bloc blunts the Tories in Quebec. Liberals dig in by their fingernails, more than likely in the backs of each other. New Democrats become almost ready for prime time, and seething Greens, held seatless as their traditional bump in the polls evaporates, gripe to no one in particular about proportional representation and how Jack Layton 'used to be cool'.
As for my own predictions, this page says there will be a legal challenge coming out of the new ID requirements, which will inevitably disenfranchise aboriginals on reserves and the inner-city homeless. The broadcast networks will call a Conservative Minority at 8:12 PM. Calling ridings in this page's field of vision: Bill Siskay in Burnaby-Douglas, Don Davies in Vancouver-Kingsway, Libby Davies in Vancouver East, Hedy Fry in Vancouver Centre, Ujjal Dosanjh in Vancouver South, and Joyce Murry in Vancouver-Qudra. Your mileage may vary as a result of Strategic Voting, which over time, could develop the same reality-warping effect on results as Diebold voting machines wield over returns in Ohio and other parts of the U.S.
I'm assuming that RevMod will have some kind of blow-by-blow take on the proceedings tomorrow night (I'll be flipping channels to and from the baseball playoffs, priorities dammit.), and be sure to see this page for a post-game wrap-up on Wednesday.
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